Democrats' edge over GOP in midterms waning, poll finds

- April 16, 2018

Voters are still more likely to support Democrats in November’s midterm elections, but a new poll shows the party’s edge is slowly deteriorating.

Roughly 47 percent of registered voters said they would cast their ballots for their congressional district's Democratic candidate in the upcoming race for the House of Representatives, while 43 percent preferred the Republican contender, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll.

That Democratic advantage, at 4 percent, narrowed by more than half since the beginning of the year, when the party enjoyed a 12 percent lead over the GOP, according to another Post-ABC poll. In January, 51 percent of registered voters said they would vote for the Democratic candidate, and 39 percent said they would vote for the Republican candidate.

Democrats need a net gain of 23 seats to win back the House majority from Republicans, who have controlled the chamber since 2011.

Meanwhile, President Donald Trump’s approval rating, which rested at 36 percent in January, has increased to 40 percent — its highest level since last April. But the president still faces a 56 percent disapproval rating, the poll shows.

The overall results of the April poll, conducted among a random national sample of 1,002 adults, have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. The survey’s error margin is four points among the sample of 865 registered voters.


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